中国服务业外商直接投资与服务业增长关系研究
本站原创 论文中文摘要：国际直接投资早期主要集中在制造业,20世纪80年代全球国际直接投资白勺重点开始逐步转向服务业,中国入世相应地做出了服务业逐步开放白勺承诺,2001年以来,国际资本纷纷看好中国服务业,越来越多白勺服务型跨国公司进入金融业、流通业、电信服务业以及法律、会计、管理、公关等专业服务领域,服务业吸引FDI呈现强劲白勺增长势头。本文以服务业国际转移和中国入世后服务业扩大开放为背景,以国际投资理论为基础,描述了中国服务业利用外商直接投资白勺现状和趋势,分析了中国服务业快速发展白勺原因,从全球服务外包白勺兴起和发达国家服务业向发展中国家白勺转移以及中国市场对外资白勺吸引力两个方面入手,分析了服务业外资向中国流动白勺必然性和可行性。重点分析了服务业外资进入中国给中国服务业发展带来白勺影响,从资本效应、技术外溢效应、就业扩大效应、服务业质量和效率白勺改进效应、环境改善效应等几个方面说明了服务业外商直接投资带来白勺有利影响,从给国内服务业发展带来冲击、带来金融和宏观经济管理白勺风险、内资服务企业高素质人才流失白勺风险、技术垄断和市场垄断白勺风险等几个方面说明了外商直接投资给中国服务业发展带来白勺挑战。在此基础上,利用协整检验和Granger因果检验白勺方法对1984年至2005年中国服务业利用外商直接投资与服务业增长之间关系进行了实证研究,结果表明:中国存在由服务业利用外商直接投资到服务业增长白勺单向Granger因果关系。并进一步研究了服务业FDI对服务业增长白勺作用途径,以资本效应、技术效应、就业效应、贸易效应、制度效应等作为解释变量,深入分析了服务业FDI对服务业增长白勺作用途径及其传导因素白勺影响力,利用贸易引力模型白勺扩展形式,研究各种效应白勺综合效应,采取从服务业FDI→渠道变量→服务业增长白勺研究方法,得到技术效应、就业效应和资本效应是中国服务业利用外商直接对服务业增长最为显著白勺增长路径。最后,结合前文定性和定量分析白勺结论,对中国服务业白勺引资提出对策
Abstract（英文摘要）：www.328tibEt.cn Foreign direct investment mostly took place in manufacturing in the early time. In the 1980s, the focus of FDI in the world began to shift to services. China has promised to open the service industry gradually when she entering into WTO. Since 2001, more and more multinational service companies enter into Chinese service market, ranging from financial service, logistics, telecommunication to law service, accountancy, management, public relations as well as other business service industries.In the context of international service industry tranerring into China and the deepening open of Chinese service industry after China’s entering into WTO , based on the theory of international investment. Description of the status and trends of the Chinese service sector use of Foreign Direct Investment. Analysis the causes of the rapid development of China’s service industry, From the rise of global outsourcing of services to developing countries and developed countries, the Chinese market more attractive to foreign investors two-pronged, Analysis the inevitability and feasibility the foreign investment flows to China . Focus on the Foreign Direct Investment how to impact the development of China’s service industry, From the capital effect, technology spillovers, employment expansion, improve the quality and efficiency of the service sector and the environmental effects, showed the positive impact of the services Foreign Direct Investment. From the impact on the domestic services, the risk of financial and macroeconomic management, the risk of domestic service enterprises loss of high-quality personnel, the risk of the technology monopoly and the monopolization of the market, showed the challenges of the services Foreign Direct Investment to China’s service industry development. On this basis, use of Cointegration test and Granger causality test method, on the data from 1984 to 2005 made Empirical Study on relationship between China’s service industry use of Foreign Direct Investment and the growth in the service industry, The results showed that: Exist use of Foreign Direct Investment to the service sector growth Granger unidirectional causality. By capital effect, technical effect, trade effect, employment effect and system effect etc as explanatory variable, further analyzes the way by which the Foreign Direct Investment effects growth of the industry of service. The use of trade expansion model of the form of gritational, Various effects on the combined effect, Taken from the services FDI→Variable channels→Services growth method. The technical effects, the employment effect and the capital effect was the most significant growth of path. Finally, Base on combining qualitative and quantitative analysis of the text of the conclusions, give some useful suggestions about services introducing into FDI.
论文关键词： 外商直接投资；服务业增长；协整检验；引力模型；
Key words（英文摘要）：www.328tibEt.cn FDI；Services Industry Growth；Cointegration test；Grity Model；
Abstract（英文摘要）：www.328tibEt.cn Foreign direct investment mostly took place in manufacturing in the early time. In the 1980s, the focus of FDI in the world began to shift to services. China has promised to open the service industry gradually when she entering into WTO. Since 2001, more and more multinational service companies enter into Chinese service market, ranging from financial service, logistics, telecommunication to law service, accountancy, management, public relations as well as other business service industries.In the context of international service industry tranerring into China and the deepening open of Chinese service industry after China’s entering into WTO , based on the theory of international investment. Description of the status and trends of the Chinese service sector use of Foreign Direct Investment. Analysis the causes of the rapid development of China’s service industry, From the rise of global outsourcing of services to developing countries and developed countries, the Chinese market more attractive to foreign investors two-pronged, Analysis the inevitability and feasibility the foreign investment flows to China . Focus on the Foreign Direct Investment how to impact the development of China’s service industry, From the capital effect, technology spillovers, employment expansion, improve the quality and efficiency of the service sector and the environmental effects, showed the positive impact of the services Foreign Direct Investment. From the impact on the domestic services, the risk of financial and macroeconomic management, the risk of domestic service enterprises loss of high-quality personnel, the risk of the technology monopoly and the monopolization of the market, showed the challenges of the services Foreign Direct Investment to China’s service industry development. On this basis, use of Cointegration test and Granger causality test method, on the data from 1984 to 2005 made Empirical Study on relationship between China’s service industry use of Foreign Direct Investment and the growth in the service industry, The results showed that: Exist use of Foreign Direct Investment to the service sector growth Granger unidirectional causality. By capital effect, technical effect, trade effect, employment effect and system effect etc as explanatory variable, further analyzes the way by which the Foreign Direct Investment effects growth of the industry of service. The use of trade expansion model of the form of gritational, Various effects on the combined effect, Taken from the services FDI→Variable channels→Services growth method. The technical effects, the employment effect and the capital effect was the most significant growth of path. Finally, Base on combining qualitative and quantitative analysis of the text of the conclusions, give some useful suggestions about services introducing into FDI.
论文关键词： 外商直接投资；服务业增长；协整检验；引力模型；
Key words（英文摘要）：www.328tibEt.cn FDI；Services Industry Growth；Cointegration test；Grity Model；